The Road Ahead ... and other notes
A Look at the Road Ahead
Kentucky enters the week 14-6 (4-2 SEC), riding a tenuous 4-game win streak. Victories at home over Arkansas (#59 KP RPI) and South Carolina (#74) were hard fought, but crucial. Road wins over bottom-feeders Georgia -- who is surprisingly bad -- and Auburn -- who is just plain bad -- don't count for much, but wins are wins.
UK's struggles at home continue to create the perception that maybe RUPP isn't the best home court advantage. Tubby Smith has not had one season in his nine thus far in which he went undefeated at home. This isn't to say he's been bad at home, just beatable. This year takes the cake, however, as last-second wins over South Carolina and Central Florida keep Kentucky from being a remarkable 5-5 at home (they are, instead, 7-3, thanks to Rajon Rondo). Is it that the Cats do not practice there? Is it the arena feel versus the cozy gym? Is it pressure from the home crowd? Bad sushi in the Wildcat Lodge?
Whatever it is, it's irritating as hell.
The Cats have some tough games ahead, but winning them would create not only some much needed national buzz, but some confidence in the sophomore-dominated squad. Here's what's on tap, and some possible outcomes:
Wed., Feb. 2 -- at Mississippi State (11-9, 1-6 SEC): Rick Stansbury's crew has been decimated by NBA defections and youth this year, and is currently riding a 6-game losing streak. The Cats can ill afford to be caught napping or looking ahead to Florida this weekend. That said, a solid game from Randolph Morris in the middle and Patrick Sparks and Joe Crawford shooting the ball should be enough to carry UK to 3-0 in road conference games. Pick: Kentucky

Sat., Feb. 4 -- at #7 Florida (18-2, 4-2): The Gators are flying high from their weak non-conference slate, and a schedule that has seen them play (and win) 13 of their 20 games at home. This year's edition of the Gators is dominated by young, athletic players, but marked by a newfound toughness. Al Horford could be a problem for the Cats, especially if he creates foul trouble for Morris. Sharp-shooter Lee Humphrey was recently injured in a bike accident and will not play, a rare sort of lucky break for Kentucky, who are prone to reverse-the-ball three-point shots. Taurean Green has played well this year, and is second in the SEC in league scoring (18 ppg). Joakim Noah looks like the kind of Florida player that has crumbled under Tubby Smith defense in the past (e.g. Matt Walsh/Brett Nelson), as he's too emotional and has a precious quality. Corey Brewer scares me to death, so I hope he's not hitting from deep. I think Kentucky can win this game, but it cannot afford to get into a 12-point hole like in recent contests. The home crowd will help Florida tremendously, so it will be key for Rondo and Ramel Bradley to control the Cats' psyches. I smell an overconfident Gators team and one that has had few tests in the last two months. The new Cats have shown up when needed, so at the risk of being overly optimistic ... Pick: Kentucky
Tue., Feb. 7 -- home vs. #13 Tennessee (14-3, 5-1): The current SEC East leaders, Bruce Pearl's Vols have become something of a media darling, as much for the coach's suspenders and personality as for their play on the court. But the play has been good, with big wins over Texas (at UT) and Florida (home). Losses to Memphis and LSU won't hurt them, but I'm not sure how much I believe the long-term success of this year's Vols. Chris Lofton, the much discussed former Mr. Basketball in Kentucky who was not recruited by UK, is a great shooter with some limitations as a defender and all-around player. No one on the Vols is a superstar, but the system works because many of them are effective at their jobs. This game isn't in Knoxville, so there's a temptation to go with the Cats. But RUPP being not as hospitable as it could be (see above), I don't like the matchup much. Pick: Tennessee
Sat., Feb. 11 -- at Vanderbilt (12-5, 3-3): Rematch with Vandy at Memorial isn't a shoo-in, but isn't impossible either. Revenge factor could be high and, depending on the outcome of the above two games, Kentucky could be rolling or stalling. Pick: Kentucky
Were things to play out thus, that would bring UK to 7-3 in the SEC with winnable games vs. UGA, at USC and vs. Ole Miss. Potential losses at LSU and at UT could have the Cats at 10-5 heading into Senior Night vs. Florida on March 5. An 11-5 mark would probably get UK a bye in the SEC tourney. Anything less may not. Worst case scenarios (5 losses to UT, UF, LSU) have the Cats in bubble trouble at 19-11 (9-7), with a marquee win over West Virginia and a fading quality win over a freefalling Louisville.
Let's hope Tubby and Co. take care of business instead and pick up wins over UT, UF and even LSU and make Selection Sunday a matter of seeding, not seething.
The Fallout from Rondo's Ride
The Kentucky Kernel had this interesting nugget today about the aftermath of the Lexington Herald-Leader's extremely questionable decision to run a non-story about the point guard's apparently totally legal choice of automobile:
UK's sophomore point guard, apparently upset over a Lexington Herald-Leader story and paparazzi-style photo that examined the circumstances surrounding his use of a vehicle registered to friend and former UK star Derek Anderson, was intentionally aloof during interviews after Sunday's 78-76 win over Arkansas. ... His answers to long-winded questions from the press mostly consisted of one-word responses and head gestures, prompting a frustrated staff member of UK Media Relations to abruptly end his interview session."

All this begs the question: What exactly is the Lexington paper of record hoping to accomplish by pissing off (a) its readers, many of whom get the LHL solely for hoops coverage, and (b) the only thing it has to cover for four months of the year? Folks at the paper surely would talk about journalistic independence and the quality of their reporting, but I've never once heard or read someone praise the local Knight-Ridder branch as scoop central.
Furthermore, dragging a high profile 20-year-old's name through the mud by insinuating some sort of wrongful behaviour is ludicrously unprofessional. Leave the rumor-mongering and speculation to blogs and message boards, the sort of admittedly ephemeral vehicles that they are. In a just world, Tubby would revoke the LHL's credentials and leave them sulking in the corner for the rest of the year. He's probably too nice to do that, but it would definitely elicit some fan sympathy.
With friends like the Herald-Leader, the Cats hoopsters hardly need enemies.
























